Kamala Harris and JD Vance hold big leads in 2028 primary races, new poll finds
- Rubin Report Staff
- 8 hours ago
- 2 min read

Former Vice President Kamala Harris enjoys a wide lead over the rest of the Democrat field in the 2028 primary race, while current Vice President JD Vance is in pole position for the Republican nomination, according to a new poll released on Monday.
Harris, who was installed as the Democrat party's nominee in July 2024 after then-President Joe Biden abruptly left the race amid fallout from a disastrous debate on CNN, picked up 38% of support in a new I&I/TIPP poll that asked Democrats which candidate they would vote for if the primary were held right now. Donald Trump, of course, decisively defeated Harris in the 2024 general election, clinching 312 electoral votes to Harris' 226. Trump also won the popular vote by nearly 2.3 million votes.
Coming in a distant second for Democrats was California Gov. Gavin Newsom, who registered 13% in the new poll, the only other Democrat to crack the 10% threshold. Of those polled, 17% responded that they weren't sure which candidate to support at the moment. It's worth noting that ESPN commentator Stephen A. Smith was not included in the poll, and Smith said in an interview over the weekend that he's not ruling out a White House bid in 2028, and that if he were to run, he'd do so as a Democrat.
On the Republican side, JD Vance had an even stronger showing than Harris, with 43% support in the poll. Perhaps in something of a surprise, the only other Republican to top the 10% mark was Donald Trump Jr, who enjoys 18% support among would-be Republican primary voters asked who they would pick if the primary were held today.
Both Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and Secretary of State Marco Rubio picked up 5% of votes in the poll. Back in November, Dave Rubin polled readers of his newsletter, The Rubin Recap, on who they preferred for 2028 Republican nominee between JD Vance and Marco Rubio and Vance won that poll with 64% of the vote. Of those Republican voters who participated in the poll, 15% responded that they weren't sure who they'd support right now in a primary election.

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